Finding the Right Real Estate Leads and Deals in Any Economy, Regardless of interest rates and House Prices

Real estate investing has long been one of the most reliable ways to build wealth. But with constant shifts in the economy—whether rising interest rates, fluctuating house prices, or changing market conditions—it can sometimes feel like a challenge to find the right deals. The good news is that it’s possible to succeed in any economy, and you don’t need to let interest rates or housing market trends throw you off track.

Whether you’re just starting out or have years of experience under your belt, there are proven strategies you can use to consistently find the right leads and deals. In this blog, we’ll explore how to find deals in any economy and how you can adapt your approach to continue profiting from real estate, no matter what the market throws at you.

1. Focus on the Fundamentals: Motivated Sellers Don’t Care About interest rates

While interest rates and house prices often make the headlines, motivated sellers are the heart of any real estate deal—and they don’t care about the current economic trends. Motivated sellers are
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Navigating the Real Estate Market: How Creative Financing and Finding Motivated Sellers Can Help You Thrive

The real estate market is constantly evolving, and while many investors are concerned about where the market is headed, it’s important to realize that there are always opportunities, no matter what direction things are moving. Whether the market is booming or facing challenges, you can still succeed by using the right strategies. One of the most effective ways to navigate the market—especially in uncertain times—is through creative financing and finding motivated sellers. Let’s dive into what you can expect from the market and how these strategies can help you thrive.

What to Expect from the Real Estate Market

Real estate markets can fluctuate for a variety of reasons, including changes in interest rates, shifts in supply and demand, economic downturns, and external factors like global events or political changes. While it's true that a market crash or downturn may be inevitable at some point, it’s also important to remember that real estate is a long-term game. Markets might dip, but they also rise again. What’s crucial is how you respond to market changes and how you structure your deals to capitalize on opportunities.

In times of uncertainty, many investors fear the worst. But if you can train yourself to read the market corr
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Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac: Cornerstones of the U.S. Housing Finance System

Fannie Mae (Federal National Mortgage Association) and Freddie Mac (Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation) are pivotal entities in the American housing finance system. Created by Congress, these government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) ensure liquidity, stability, and affordability in the mortgage market. Let’s delve into their roles, functions, and impact on housing finance.

Key Functions of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac

1. Providing Liquidity to Mortgage Markets

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac purchase mortgages from banks, savings institutions, and mortgage companies. By doing so, they provide these lenders with cash, which can then be used to issue new loans. This cycle ensures that lenders have the resources to meet the ongoing demand for home loans.

2. Packaging Mortgages into Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS)

The GSEs package the purchased mortgages into mortgage-backed securities (MBS), which are sold to investors. By guaranteeing the principal payment and interest on these securities, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac attract investors who might not traditionally invest in mortgages. This process:

• Expands the pool of funds available for housing.
• Makes the secondary mortgage market more liquid.
• Lowers interest rates for borrowers.

Understanding Wraparound Mortgages: A Unique Home Financing Approach

When navigating the complexities of real estate financing, unique structures such as the wraparound mortgage offer alternative pathways for both buyers and sellers. But what exactly is a wraparound mortgage, and how does it function? Let’s dive into what makes this method appealing, along with the potential benefits and risks it presents.

What Is a Wraparound Mortgage?

A wraparound mortgage is an alternative home financing option where the seller maintains their existing mortgage while creating a new loan that “wraps around” the existing amount owed. Unlike conventional home sales where buyers secure mortgages through banks or lenders, buyers in a wraparound agreement make their monthly payments directly to the seller. The seller, in turn, uses part of those payments to continue paying off their original mortgage. This type of mortgage often comes with higher interest rates than traditional loans, giving sellers an opportunity to profit.

How Does a Wraparound Mortgage Work?

In a typical real estate transaction, a mortgage lender provides the loan for the home purchase, and the seller uses the proceeds to settle their mortgage.
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 How Does the Truth in Lending Act Work?

Lenders must provide borrowers with a Truth in Lending disclosure statement. It has handy information like the loan amount, the annual percentage rate (APR), finance charges, late fees, prepayment penalties, payment schedule and the total amount you’ll pay.

The law also established a “right of recession” for certain types of home loans. It’s basically a cooling-off period that gives consumers three days to cancel their loans without any financial penalty.

TILA does not require institutions to loan money to specific applicants or regulate the interest rates they can charge. It just requires banks, credit unions and other lenders to clearly lay out what the terms of the loan will be.

Applying the Truth in Lending Act

The law covers most forms of consumer loans, whether they are closed end or open-end credit. Closed-end loans mean you get a set amount of money when the loan closes and must pay it back (with interest, of course). Think of mortgages or auto loans.

Open-end is money you can draw repeatedly, up to a pre-approved amount. Think of credit cards and lines of
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Everyone knows that as interest rates rise, real estate prices drop.  It is only natural.  If the current interest rate is 4% on a $300,000 loan, the monthly PI (Principle & Interest) payment is $1,432.25.  If the interest rate goes up to 7% and the average buyer can only afford a monthly payment of $1,432.25, then the maximum amount they can borrow goes down to $215,277.40.

This is affectively what has happened over the past year and a half, so why have prices continued to climb?  That’s a great question and can be explained by the extremely low inventory levels.  The level of inventory has been so low for so long that the principles of supply and demand have caused prices to increase dramatically. 

In other words, if interest rates hadn’t risen so much so fast, the average loan balance may have risen to $565,000.  That is what the borrowers could afford based on the current average monthly PI payment of $2,700 and an interest rate of only 4%.

The following chart shows the affect interest rates have on a borrowers ability to pay over the past 18 months.

25% of all listing had a price reduction last month and inventory levels are rising. We are still in a sellers’ market, but we are transitioning into a buyers’ market.  When that happens, sellers buyers become picking and stubborn sellers slowly become more receptive.  The first phase of this transition is for sellers to drop their asking prices, and that is starting to happen. 

The next phase, if interest rates remain high, will shock the sellers and if they have to sell, they will drastically drop their price to get a sale and that has a snowball affect on prices.  The only thing that can help the sellers now is for inventory levels to remain low and interest rates to drop a little.

Bank financing is getting harder to qualify for, interest rates are rising, and people are getting scared.  This is exactly what most investors have been waiting for.  Opportunity is brewing, the question is, are you ready for the coming storm? 

Inflation is destroying the value of the dollar. Every time this has happened in the past, people look for other investments and commodities to beat inflation or at lease does not lose too much value from it.  Hard assets like gold and silver tend to do well in times of out-of-control federal spending and inflation.

Real estate is another hard asset that does well over time. This is why so many people are looking to put their money into real estate.  Real estate investors are struggling to find good deals right now, but as the storm approaches, deals will become more readily available, however, the easy bank financing is also drying up.  This presents a problem to investors who have not prepared for this and started to raise their own private financing. 

Having access to private money is a game changer and will separate the doers from the wantabees.  You see most people get into real estate when things are going up because they heard about all the money that can be made in real estate.  However, that money was mad by the dowers who bought when everyone else was getting out and then resold years later to the new investors getting in.  It’s a vicious cycle, the question is, when will you be the buyer?  When everyone is getting out so that you can be the seller when everyone is getting back in, or when everyone is getting back in?

 When you first think of the consequences of rising interest rates, you could naturally conclude that would drive real estate prices down.  Over the long haul, you would be right.  However, when you look at what is going on now as rates are rising, you might be shocked to see that both rates and prices are rising together.

Mortgage rates have been increasing steadily since the begging of the year 2022.  At the beginning of the year, mortgage rates were right around 3.2%.  As of the end of April 2022, mortgage rates have risen to around 5.2%. Some resources are show as high as 6.1% as of this writing.

The interesting thing is that the median sales price for real estate is also increasing. The median home values of Minnesota, my home state is currently $326k, the twin cities metro area is a little higher at $340k. 

So why are prices still increasing at the same time interest rates are also increasing.  To explain that you need to have a little understanding of economics.  In the simplest form, when supply is high and demand is low, rates tend to drop lower to encourage borrowing. 
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